Management reporting and performance

Variance analysis

Explaining why actual results differ from plan

Plain definition

Variance analysis investigates the reasons actual results differ from budget, forecast, or prior period and connects material drivers to decisions. It is not a list of differences; it separates causes that need different responses.

Illustrative example

Monetary examples use Saudi riyals (SAR). The same principles apply in other currencies.

Actual cash is below forecast. The analysis finds is a customer collection delayed by one week, is a higher supplier invoice, and is an omitted bank fee. Finance moves the collection date, procurement checks the invoice, and accounting adds the fee source.

Why it matters

A total variance does not tell management which decision will change the next result. A quantified causal bridge turns explanation into a dated action and improves the next forecast.

Practical consequence

Start from a reconciled actual and approved comparison, quantify each driver, assign evidence and action, and distinguish timing from permanent amount changes. Do not mark a variance closed merely because someone supplied a narrative.